1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:06,880 Movies: they’re like if pictures could move.\h Movies are the backbone of culture: in fact,\h\h 2 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:11,600 the movies are the #1 way that people watch\h Anne Hathaway cry. But did you know that\h\h 3 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:17,200 movies can be bad? It’s true. And did you know\h that those bad movies are often concentrated in\h\h 4 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:21,440 very specific calendar windows? Well I sure\h hope not, because then this video is gonna\h\h 5 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:26,800 bomb worse than a movie released in February. In order to understand when bad movies come out,\h\h 6 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:32,080 we first have to understand when good movies come\h out: summer and the holiday season. The summer\h\h 7 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:38,960 blockbuster was invented in the mid 1970s, when\h Jaws, released June 20th, 1975, became the highest\h\h 8 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:44,480 grossing movie of all time, only to be surpassed\h two year later by Star Wars, released May 25,\h\h 9 00:00:44,480 --> 00:00:50,400 1977. Studios soon started releasing their\h biggest, loudest, crowd-pleasiest movies in\h\h 10 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:55,200 early summer, taking advantage of kids being off\h school, adults taking vacations, and the heat\h\h 11 00:00:55,200 --> 00:01:00,160 making everyone pretty interested in sitting in\h a big air conditioned room for 90 minutes or so.\h 12 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,760 The holidays are arguably an even\h better time to release a movie.\h\h 13 00:01:04,320 --> 00:01:07,840 Like summer, people have time off from work,\h and kids have time off from school––plus,\h\h 14 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,320 people are often looking for something their whole\h family can do together, and going to a movie is a\h\h 15 00:01:12,320 --> 00:01:16,640 great way to get your aunt to stop recruiting you\h to a multi-level marketing scheme for a few hours.\h\h 16 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:21,360 Another huge factor is that the cutoff for\h Academy Award eligibility is the end of the year,\h\h 17 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:25,680 so movies hoping to make an awards play often\h release just before voting starts, in the hopes\h\h 18 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:30,880 that recency bias will make them more likely to\h score a nomination. That’s why you see so many big\h\h 19 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:35,600 tentpole and prestige movies come out starting\h around Thanksgiving and going into December:\h\h 20 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,360 just look at all the massive IP-fests and\h Oscar-baits getting released over the coming\h\h 21 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,760 holidays. Netflix is even getting in on the\h action, putting out a movie starring five\h\h 22 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:48,160 Oscar winners and one Oscar-nominated twink. So now that we’ve talked about good movies,\h\h 23 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:54,560 let’s talk about bad movies. January and February\h are what are known as dump months: the months with\h\h 24 00:01:54,560 --> 00:02:00,000 the worst movies. But why? Why does the start\h of the year mean our movie screens are suddenly\h\h 25 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:07,360 bombarded with dirty grandpas and purposeful dogs? Well, first off, there’s the box office: from 2002\h\h 26 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:12,880 to 2012, the average box office for a January\h release was less than a third of what it was\h\h 27 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:17,920 for a December release. There are several reasons\h for that: first off, theatres are still playing\h\h 28 00:02:17,920 --> 00:02:23,280 all the big holiday releases, and it’s hard for\h new January movies to compete with massive IP\h\h 29 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:28,240 tentpoles, as moviegoers are mostly just going\h to see Lego Titanic 3: Into the Shang-Chi-Verse\h\h 30 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:33,600 for the fifth time. Second, Oscar nominations come\h out in early February, and when they do, all the\h\h 31 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:38,320 cinephiles focus on watching all the nominees\h before the Oscars, not watching new February\h\h 32 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:43,520 releases. And there are a mess of other factors:\h people have less disposable income coming off the\h\h 33 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:47,520 holidays, winter weather can make it unpleasant\h to travel to the theatre, and there’s the issue\h\h 34 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:51,840 of the Super Bowl: it’s always the first Sunday\h in February, and it pushes the public’s attention\h\h 35 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,240 away from actors fake beating each other up and\h towards athletes actually beating each other up.\h\h 36 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:01,200 The two highest grossing movies to premiere Super\h Bowl weekend are Hannah Montana and Miley Cyrus:\h\h 37 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:06,160 Best of Both Worlds Concert, and Dear John,\h two movies aimed at female audiences due\h\h 38 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:10,400 to the gender gap in football viewership. But all of that explains why people don’t\h\h 39 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:16,480 see movies released in January and February.\h The question remains: why are the movies bad?\h\h 40 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:22,640 Because they are bad: Rotten Tomatoes found that\h the average February movie has a 43% lower score\h\h 41 00:03:22,640 --> 00:03:27,520 than the average November movie. Well here’s\h a little secret: thanks to test screenings,\h\h 42 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:32,400 studios usually know if their movies suck\h before they get released. But the thing is,\h\h 43 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:37,520 they’re still contractually obligated to give most\h of those movies a theatrical release. So, they\h\h 44 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:42,560 intentionally dump their bad movies in January and\h February because they want to save the good summer\h\h 45 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:48,560 and holiday release dates for better and/or IP-ier\h movies. In part, this lets the studio offload\h\h 46 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:53,120 garbage movies while fulfilling their contractual\h obligations, but it also can help mediocre movies\h\h 47 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:57,600 occasionally make a profit, because what they lack\h in not sucking, they’ll sometimes make up for in\h\h 48 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:02,240 being basically the only new thing in theatres. But movies that come out in January and February\h\h 49 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:07,120 aren’t always bad––sometimes, they’re just\h targeted. Older audiences, for example,\h\h 50 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:11,360 are somewhat reliable January and February\h theatregoers, as they typically have savings\h\h 51 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:15,840 that weren’t blown out by the holidays and are\h often retirees, so they don’t have to return to\h\h 52 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:20,480 work. That’s why Clint Eastwood movies often\h release early in the year and do well––the\h\h 53 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:25,280 highest grossing January release is by far the\h Eastwood-directed American Sniper, because if\h\h 54 00:04:25,280 --> 00:04:30,080 there’s one thing old people love, it’s military\h propaganda directed by an 84-year-old former\h\h 55 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:35,600 pretend cowboy. Genre movies are also a staple\h in these months, especially horror films, which\h\h 56 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:40,400 are usually low-budget and come with a reliable\h niche audience of thrill-seekers and teenagers\h\h 57 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:45,760 with fake IDs. It’s no coincidence that the two\h most notable dump month Oscar winners––Get Out\h\h 58 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:51,200 and Silence of the Lambs––are both horror films. There’s also a second, slightly less intense dump\h\h 59 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:55,920 period in late August and early September, when\h school is starting back up, summer blockbusters\h\h 60 00:04:55,920 --> 00:05:00,000 are still in theatres, and people have less\h spending money thanks to recent vacation spending,\h\h 61 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,960 back to school shopping, and seasonal summer\h jobs ending. Labor Day is famously the worst\h\h 62 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:10,240 holiday weekend at the US box office, as families\h are often too busy squeezing in a final vacation\h\h 63 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:14,320 or settling into school routines to go watch\h Christopher Walken do cultural appropriation.\h 64 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:19,520 In recent years, though, studios have started\h to question if the dump month mindset is a\h\h 65 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:24,720 self-fulfilling prophecy––maybe the January box\h office mostly sucks because the studios ensure\h\h 66 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:29,920 that January movies mostly suck. Marvel, notably,\h has started innovating within the schedule,\h\h 67 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:35,280 releasing Black Panther in February, which buoyed\h the month’s 2018 box office returns to almost even\h\h 68 00:05:35,280 --> 00:05:40,480 with December, and shattering records by releasing\h Shang-Chi on Labor Day weekend––suggesting that\h\h 69 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:46,400 perhaps there’s a solution to this decades long\h dump month problem so crazy it just might work:\h\h 70 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:52,480 release movies that people actually want to see. But you know what people don’t want to see? Empty,\h\h 71 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:57,600 white walls, but finding artwork, getting\h it framed, mounting it––it’s time-consuming,\h\h 72 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:03,440 expensive, and destructive to your walls. 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